{"contract_version":1,"generated_at":"2026-08-26T08:09:14.679Z","live":true,"delay_seconds":86400,"freshness":{"source_updated_at":"2026-08-25T05:07:53.038Z","expires_at":"2026-08-26T08:14:14.679Z"},"calls":{"active":[{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"f9328b5e-82c4-4211-8f75-75daa9655649","question":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?","side":"NO","confidence":66,"market_implied_at_call":0.71,"revised":false,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-25T05:07:53.038Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/f9328b5e-82c4-4211-8f75-75daa9655649"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"a7cd63c1-feb3-4f2a-8af8-a6a3fc84cbc5","question":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","side":"NO","confidence":62,"market_implied_at_call":0.685,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-24T11:10:01.135Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/a7cd63c1-feb3-4f2a-8af8-a6a3fc84cbc5"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"15095c59-30a3-4cf6-bd8f-d978c72756cc","question":"Will Bitcoin dip to $72,500 in August?","side":"NO","confidence":65,"market_implied_at_call":0.69,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-23T13:06:58.415Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/15095c59-30a3-4cf6-bd8f-d978c72756cc"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"61129487-444e-4c74-a2d6-8a7e48ad21da","question":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","side":"YES","confidence":62,"market_implied_at_call":0.685,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-23T13:04:40.119Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/61129487-444e-4c74-a2d6-8a7e48ad21da"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"90302a43-1319-40bb-84d9-06a4ba6bbc4a","question":"Will Ethereum reach $2,700 in August?","side":"NO","confidence":61,"market_implied_at_call":0.7304999999999999,"revised":false,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-21T16:57:12.111Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/90302a43-1319-40bb-84d9-06a4ba6bbc4a"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"b17dab9b-d8a4-4011-9f57-1bb87b122ab3","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?","side":"NO","confidence":63,"market_implied_at_call":0.634,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-21T16:53:54.372Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/b17dab9b-d8a4-4011-9f57-1bb87b122ab3"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"0cf7f5d3-2783-4942-b195-97107b8160b6","question":"Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?","side":"NO","confidence":66,"market_implied_at_call":0.735,"revised":false,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-21T06:49:10.748Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/0cf7f5d3-2783-4942-b195-97107b8160b6"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"fd41d3f7-41c3-4cfe-b330-0cf2759c006d","question":"Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in August?","side":"YES","confidence":60,"market_implied_at_call":0.3405,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-21T06:47:56.618Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/fd41d3f7-41c3-4cfe-b330-0cf2759c006d"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"b660682c-3ba7-4132-bbc0-4695e65fa693","question":"Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?","side":"NO","confidence":70,"market_implied_at_call":0.725,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-21T06:46:20.942Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/b660682c-3ba7-4132-bbc0-4695e65fa693"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"active","id":"e0cae24e-312d-4c05-bc65-27996b995ac6","question":"Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?","side":"YES","confidence":60,"market_implied_at_call":0.715,"revised":true,"result":"open","published_at":"2026-08-20T02:44:18.093Z","settled_at":null,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/e0cae24e-312d-4c05-bc65-27996b995ac6"}],"resolved":[{"kind":"major","phase":"resolved","id":"9c99dd5f-4390-4872-9b45-01fde0c2f85b","symbol":"HNT","direction":"SHORT","leverage":2,"entry":0.189075,"stop":0.1961,"target":0.1719,"result":"loss","pnl_pct":-8.93,"opened_at":"2026-08-23T18:04:32.108Z","settled_at":"2026-08-25T02:20:12.990Z","regime_at_open":"trending_low_vol","composite_at_open":-0.254,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/9c99dd5f-4390-4872-9b45-01fde0c2f85b"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"677925da-18f7-4cb6-b233-7650495fdcdc","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in August?","side":"YES","confidence":75,"market_implied_at_call":0.3755,"revised":true,"result":"correct","published_at":"2026-08-21T06:43:22.384Z","settled_at":"2026-08-24T16:08:09.106Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/677925da-18f7-4cb6-b233-7650495fdcdc"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"484e823d-b7a7-45af-95e1-ec3affcaf207","question":"US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?","side":"YES","confidence":84,"market_implied_at_call":0.255,"revised":false,"result":"incorrect","published_at":"2026-08-12T01:31:13.354Z","settled_at":"2026-08-23T07:03:31.007Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/484e823d-b7a7-45af-95e1-ec3affcaf207"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"686e7964-db38-48ad-9be1-123b99bf8f09","question":"Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's US Open?","side":"NO","confidence":63,"market_implied_at_call":0.6799999999999999,"revised":true,"result":"correct","published_at":"2026-08-20T02:45:24.535Z","settled_at":"2026-08-22T11:52:42.493Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/686e7964-db38-48ad-9be1-123b99bf8f09"},{"kind":"major","phase":"resolved","id":"a5843da3-4871-46b6-89e6-c9c6515557a7","symbol":"WIF","direction":"SHORT","leverage":2,"entry":0.1756,"stop":0.1838,"target":0.1618,"result":"loss","pnl_pct":-9.99,"opened_at":"2026-08-21T08:43:06.950Z","settled_at":"2026-08-21T10:55:01.984Z","regime_at_open":"trending_low_vol","composite_at_open":0.337,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/a5843da3-4871-46b6-89e6-c9c6515557a7"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"df2249df-f7ed-49fb-b80e-3b97c6dd0f98","question":"Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in August?","side":"NO","confidence":60,"market_implied_at_call":0.5549999999999999,"revised":true,"result":"incorrect","published_at":"2026-08-20T02:43:24.292Z","settled_at":"2026-08-21T09:41:34.899Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/df2249df-f7ed-49fb-b80e-3b97c6dd0f98"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"4886acec-f71c-439d-b1f1-906b0231bdcc","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in August?","side":"YES","confidence":72,"market_implied_at_call":0.2925,"revised":true,"result":"correct","published_at":"2026-08-20T16:44:51.703Z","settled_at":"2026-08-21T09:41:26.381Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/4886acec-f71c-439d-b1f1-906b0231bdcc"},{"kind":"major","phase":"resolved","id":"68c41797-5ce8-4636-b415-acda37bf8597","symbol":"SUI","direction":"SHORT","leverage":2,"entry":0.7477,"stop":0.7782,"target":0.6955,"result":"loss","pnl_pct":-9.21,"opened_at":"2026-08-21T04:44:19.079Z","settled_at":"2026-08-21T07:17:42.127Z","regime_at_open":"trending_low_vol","composite_at_open":0.115,"source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/68c41797-5ce8-4636-b415-acda37bf8597"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"750e88ac-dd2b-4a88-8bce-4d787fc85a35","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?","side":"YES","confidence":85,"market_implied_at_call":0.465,"revised":true,"result":"correct","published_at":"2026-08-20T02:42:27.387Z","settled_at":"2026-08-20T15:41:24.299Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/750e88ac-dd2b-4a88-8bce-4d787fc85a35"},{"kind":"prediction","phase":"resolved","id":"f1e2424e-d258-48cb-a5fc-3a9bb9b2a7fc","question":"Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August?","side":"NO","confidence":62,"market_implied_at_call":0.7,"revised":true,"result":"incorrect","published_at":"2026-08-05T23:58:23.311Z","settled_at":"2026-08-19T22:41:26.244Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/call/f1e2424e-d258-48cb-a5fc-3a9bb9b2a7fc"}]},"research":[{"slug":"daily-desk-briefing-2026-08-08","kind":"daily","title":"Bitcoin infrastructure exploits cluster as SOL long hits target","published_at":"2026-08-08T15:21:12.163Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/research/daily-desk-briefing-2026-08-08"},{"slug":"coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-holds-desk-briefing-2026-08-06","kind":"daily","title":"Coldcard exploit headlines collide with spot resilience as BTC holds $64,552","published_at":"2026-08-06T12:42:06.712Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/research/coldcard-exploit-bitcoin-holds-desk-briefing-2026-08-06"},{"slug":"daily-desk-briefing-2026-07-08","kind":"daily","title":"SEC regulatory flood meets Iran risk, majors slip in compressed range","published_at":"2026-08-03T20:23:43.423Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/research/daily-desk-briefing-2026-07-08"},{"slug":"geopolitical-risk-off-fed-hawkishness-july-2026-2026-07-14","kind":"daily","title":"Geopolitical Risk-Off Hits While Fed Hawkishness Looms","published_at":"2026-08-03T20:23:42.927Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/research/geopolitical-risk-off-fed-hawkishness-july-2026-2026-07-14"},{"slug":"iran-etf-btc-desk-stops-2026-07-16","kind":"daily","title":"Iran Escalation Meets ETF Inflows as BTC Holds $65K Territory","published_at":"2026-08-03T20:23:42.412Z","source_url":"https://app.sapere.one/research/iran-etf-btc-desk-stops-2026-07-16"}],"links":{"methodology":"https://app.sapere.one/methodology","research":"https://app.sapere.one/research","api":"https://app.sapere.one/api","agent":"https://app.sapere.one/agent"}}